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Overview

Future Reflections

During 2001 and 2002, Bournemouth Media School, with research support from the Independent Television Commission and British Screen Advisory Council, worked with a group of senior industry professionals and opinion leaders on a project which used scenario analysis to explore some of the options that face the television industry over the next decade.

In the past, business and policy decision makers have found the scenario analysis approach helpful in encouraging strategic thinking 'outside the box'.

The technique has been applied to develop a better understanding of future issues and their implications at both corporate and national levels. This is one of the rare occasions when participants from across an industry sector have collaborated in creating a set of scenarios for the future.

A full report which presents a set of four scenarios for television in 2012 - together with associated issues and challenges - is available for downloading. A condensed version is also available. A hard copy of the condensed report is available from Sandie Rose.

For further information about the study, contact Dr Christine Daymon, or telephone +44 (0)1202 595157.

audio clip Dr. Christine Daymon Christine Daymon

2.30 Why did you undertake this project?

2.31 Who was on the panel?

2.32 What is scenario analysis?

2.33 How did you build the scenarios?

2.34 What were the resulting four scenarios?

2.35 The four scenarios explained - Digital World

2.36 The four scenarios explained - Back to Basics

2.37 The four scenarios explained - Goodbye TV

2.38 The four scenarios explained - Global Challenge

2.39 Issues and implications arising from the scenarios

2.40 Other management and marketing issues and implications

2.41 Management skills needed in this new world

2.42 Management of creativity

2.43 What were the main uncertainties about the future?

2.44 Outcomes of the project